1)

What will not succeed?

1.

Rashi and Ramban #1: It refers (not to the command of Hashem, but) to what the Ma'apilim were about to do.

2.

Ramban #2 (citing Ibn Ezra): Contravening the command of Hashem cannot succeed.

3.

Ramban #3 (according to Kabalah): The Shechinah will not allow you to succeed.

4.

Targum Yonasan: 'Hashem's word (which generally sides with Yisrael) will not side with you, to enable you to succeed'. 1


1

See also Peirush Yonasan and Na'ar Yonasan.

2)

Why would they not succeed?

1.

Ramban and Seforno: Because Hashem had stated adamantly that they were not to go to Eretz Yisrael. Consequently, if they would go against the word of Hashem, they would be contravening His command. 1


1

Seforno: Not just le'Te'avon (for personal gain) but le'Hach'is (to anger Hashem).

Sefer: Perek: Pasuk:
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